Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 2.323745 2.536932 2.765196 3.028497 3.324719 3.648691 4.031189
2025-11-09 1.958677 2.238421 2.556154 2.946294 3.415910 3.967391 4.670558
2025-11-16 1.741895 2.056268 2.428766 2.907634 3.514134 4.266607 5.286646
2025-11-23 1.594367 1.931078 2.343771 2.894501 3.622080 4.567806 5.919820
2025-11-30 1.515468 1.878078 2.336241 2.968867 3.838041 5.018699 6.795656
2025-12-07 1.415016 1.786338 2.267249 2.950198 3.919739 5.286958 7.438529
2025-12-14 1.324318 1.698868 2.194521 2.916051 3.970738 5.509308 8.032166
2025-12-21 1.221153 1.586737 2.078968 2.810048 3.904600 5.546888 8.334835
2025-12-28 1.167902 1.538762 2.047586 2.820148 4.007941 5.847307 9.095709
2026-01-04 1.127287 1.505207 2.033227 2.852341 4.145089 6.211053 10.008887
2026-01-11 1.092036 1.476629 2.023314 2.888989 4.290213 6.599665 11.017915
2026-01-18 1.057965 1.447396 2.009927 2.918071 4.423768 6.980066 12.064977
2026-01-25 1.020934 1.412625 1.987316 2.932800 4.538044 7.345318 13.155088
2026-02-01 0.964629 1.346255 1.912889 2.858766 4.494496 7.422281 13.675329
2026-02-08 0.921982 1.298215 1.863774 2.822259 4.512105 7.612092 14.460685
2026-02-15 0.888181 1.261888 1.830708 2.809716 4.570323 7.883641 15.468810
2026-02-22 0.875332 1.257078 1.846932 2.881314 4.787168 8.488866 17.351012
2026-03-01 0.844417 1.222398 1.813009 2.863347 4.834421 8.756336 18.478004
2026-03-08 0.812579 1.184790 1.772289 2.830478 4.849851 8.958337 19.479147
2026-03-15 0.769169 1.126930 1.695482 2.728416 4.722232 8.841197 19.629674
2026-03-22 0.749834 1.107072 1.680984 2.738142 4.816558 9.218060 21.181864
2026-03-29 0.735526 1.094701 1.678329 2.769142 4.956015 9.712107 23.173007
2026-04-05 0.722704 1.084157 1.678122 2.804426 5.107044 10.251577 25.430304